Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.008646 0.010166 0.011991 0.014379 0.017476 0.021437 0.027024
2025-09-28 0.006899 0.008769 0.011286 0.015052 0.020796 0.029723 0.045826
2025-10-05 0.006145 0.008252 0.011333 0.016447 0.025381 0.041974 0.080671
2025-10-12 0.005466 0.007632 0.010996 0.017040 0.028825 0.054439 0.131728
2025-10-19 0.004814 0.006908 0.010303 0.016770 0.030500 0.064513 0.195397
2025-10-26 0.004378 0.006440 0.009919 0.016922 0.033096 0.079094 0.316417
2025-11-02 0.003964 0.005942 0.009382 0.016614 0.034508 0.091892 0.489752
2025-11-09 0.003532 0.005357 0.008593 0.015589 0.033703 0.096855 0.650211
2025-11-16 0.003195 0.004898 0.007972 0.014794 0.033237 0.103100 0.899043
2025-11-23 0.003016 0.004697 0.007809 0.014989 0.035726 0.125476 1.823918
2025-11-30 0.002808 0.004422 0.007463 0.014678 0.036557 0.141647 3.435473
2025-12-07 0.002600 0.004127 0.007043 0.014103 0.036311 0.152089 6.140119
2025-12-14 0.002444 0.003930 0.006830 0.014100 0.038461 0.185973 30.209059
2025-12-21 0.002354 0.003851 0.006858 0.014754 0.043658 0.263877 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002321 0.003875 0.007110 0.016110 0.053115 0.451762 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002235 0.003784 0.007092 0.016687 0.059759 0.690594 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002107 0.003598 0.006826 0.016424 0.061900 0.886245 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002015 0.003476 0.006695 0.016572 0.066743 1.309202 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001908 0.003314 0.006450 0.016273 0.068663 1.731714 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001776 0.003089 0.006027 0.015277 0.065187 1.754833 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001665 0.002903 0.005684 0.014503 0.062908 1.869031 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001610 0.002831 0.005615 0.014693 0.067931 3.103380 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001536 0.002714 0.005423 0.014390 0.069020 4.211799 NaN